Home Bitcoin BCH/USD Price Analysis: BCH Could Disintegrate | Nov. 15 Hard Fork

BCH/USD Price Analysis: BCH Could Disintegrate | Nov. 15 Hard Fork

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Roger Ver’s Bitcoin Cash is at a precipice. It could fall apart if there is no consensus draining with it millions in investment and propelling Bitcoin higher. The standoff between Craig Wright of Bitcoin SV and Jihan Wu’s Bitcoin Cash ABC could be damaging. Since price relies on the outcome, traders should remain neutral ahead of the upgrade knowing that breaks below $400 could usher a wave of unrelenting bears eyeing $250.

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So far, the US Federal Reserve is on an interest rates spiking spree and this worries Ron Paul. As an avid supporter of the Gold Standard and cryptocurrencies, he is calling for the complete audit of the FED and removal of all capital tax gains on cryptocurrencies and precious metals as Gold. By tightening interest rates as the capital market take a hit, Ron Paul says the FED is on a manipulation path, controlling the money supply and creating an illusion of prosperity which will be disastrous when reality catches up.

Once the stability illusion bubble bursts, the accompanying recession would be deep twisting the FED to start the whole boom and bust cycle once more. The former US representative reckon that the removal of capital gain taxes on cryptocurrencies and alternatives as precious metals would spur mass adoption. With the mainstream use of cryptocurrencies, then innovation would follow through allowing for better solutions and more use cases.

In the meantime, Jim Song the controversial Bitcoin developer whose opinion often flares the community, says there is a real chance Bitcoin Cash will disintegrate in November. While talking to Tone Vays on YouTube, the developer touched on the upcoming hard fork on Nov 15, 2018 and how important it was for consensus to be struck before the D-day. As it stands Craig Wright is finding support from CoinGeek and as he advocates for SV implementation he has the hash power. On the other hand, Roger Ver and Jihan Wu are rooting for Bitcoin Cash ABC and Wormhole. So, unless there is a solution, this would likely wreck the coin benefiting Bitcoin as a result.

BCH/USD Price Analysis

Weekly Chart

BCH/USD Price Analysis

Like in our last BCH/USD price analysis, we retain a bearish outlook. This overview is because of fundamental factors as the indecision around Nov 15, 2018 hard fork. It is also technical because prices are trading within a bear break out of early August. Then, we saw BCH melting down below $600.

Therefore, if we trade in line with our previous trade plans then it is likely that BCH/USD shall falter. Price could sink below $400 more so if their fork goes haywire. Inevitably this shall trigger a wave of sellers eyeing $250-$300 BCH all-time lows.

But should there be consensus and BTC recover, enough momentum might build thrusting prices above $600. Thereafter conservative traders shall load up on dips with first targets at $850.

Daily Chart

BCH/USD Price Analysis

The consolidation in the weekly chart is clear in this time frame. Not only is the bear break out pattern from early August clear, but the significance of $400 is also obvious.

Because of our bear leaning, we recommend taking a neutral stand until after there is stability in the market. Should there be breakouts below $400 in days to come, then sellers shall trade as mentioned. On the other hand recoveries above Oct 15 highs could be the impetus the BCH/USD market require for recovery.

Source: NewsBTC

 

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